A future in which we also employ robots can 3D print for each affordable homes, with self-driving cars avoid accidents and congestion and an average of 120 years old? Utopia, threatening scenario or fundamental paradigm shift? Stephan Balzer, organizer of the first Singularity University Summit in Germany, explains why it is about more than technology in singularity.
In 2045, according to futurist and inventor Ray Kurzweil, the singularity is reached. It is approaching so that the time will be the first time intelligent from the machine than man – with far-reaching positive consequences. Other prominent heads as the Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, have the technological singularity called Chance of mankind to achieve serious progress in solving acute problems of humanity. Ray Kurzweil describes the singularity in his classic transhumanism “The Singularity Is Near. When Humans Transcend Biology “from 2005 about a” technological change is so fast and all-encompassing that it represents a break in the structure of human history. “Done this is using” exponential technologies “such as bioinformatics, artificial intelligence, neuroscience, robotics and nanotechnology.
What at first sounds like a distant vision, engaged for several years increasingly within reach. Kurzweil refers in part to the technology of 3D printing or implants that make it possible to be able to hear sounds again by stimulation of certain brain regions deaf people. he has also predicted for the 2017 self-propelled cars. at this technical innovation nowadays no one doubts. and the year is quite realistic. But the theory of singularity is far more than a science fiction gimmick. It is not last to the concretely noticeable disruption of the global economy in the here and now.
the speed will be overwhelmed with the present entire sectors of exponential technology is, however, still massively underestimated by the majority of the German economy. A recent study by Crisp Research for the “digital transformation” in Germany investigated u. A., The capabilities and settings must have leaders to tackle the digital challenges in their own company successfully. The results are sobering: According to the study have currently only seven percent of the executives in Germany the necessary skills to give active impetus to the digital transformation and to control the necessary change processes in the company successful. 71 percent according to the survey digital beginners. There is also a considerable discrepancy between the self-assessment and the actually existing digitization skills: To hold six out of ten decision makers for digitally competent, that is, they see their digital skills to be strong or very strong. In fact, have only 26 percent of respondents on these skills.
The Relevance of singularity and exponential technology is particularly evident in the Intel co-founder Gordon Moore in 1965 established formula, according to which the number of transistors on a chip doubles every two years. This model of thought went into the history of technology development as “Moore’s Law”. is much more important than the historical perspective, what we can deduce from Moore’s Law for the future. While Moore is only limited to the consideration of a chip, can the “doubling trend” certainly applied to the rapid development in the entire computer technology. From this doubling we can derive primarily a relation between development period and available data performance at continuously decreasing prices
In other words. What I had yesterday or today pay to get a specific data performance and what I’m going in the to pay future for it? This correlation explains why we already on our smartphone more information available than Bill Clinton during his tenure. Good can illustrate this in other examples: The legendary IBM computer “350″ was introduced in 1956 and had a capacity of 5 MB (!). But you had to pay 3,200 US dollars / month; adjusted for inflation, this would correspond today a price of 27,000 US dollars / month. So Peter Diamandis expects in his book “Abundance” before, as data volume and performance of the 10 most popular free apps 20 years ago would have cost nearly 1 million US dollars. However, the exponential data output price time-correlation is more than just a technological basis, it is a conceptual model evolutorisches. It is the blueprint with which we get a new understanding of concepts like progress, success, failure and so shape the future. Exponentiality makes technology the wider community, regardless of social affiliation and financial status available, thereby making fundamental democratization -. From letterpress to the industrialization
It takes exponential technological development instead inevitably and necessarily, whether we like it or not. the responsibility for technology Man can not escape through lack of opinion or even demonization itself. We need to evolve at the rapid development of artificial intelligence also our ethical and normative value system to fundamentally reshape with technology can. It is given to the principle: The best way to predict the future is to create it! Exponential thinking does not mean to make people redundant in view of the machine, it means to redefine it in his self-image and effect options.
The undisputed nucleus and central hotspot of global technological progress continues to be the Silicon Valley. Nowhere else the opportunities and challenges of technological singularity for industry and the environment are visible. This is the place where the technical future is written. involved since 2009, founded by Ray Kurzweil and Peter Diamandis Singularity University (SU), which has its headquarters in Silicon Valley. As an educational organization that provides a platform for innovators, technology enthusiasts and makers, the Singularity University developed entirely new approaches to tackle the major problems of humanity using the latest techniques.
A comprehensive insight into their work, latest trends and visions provide the experts of the Singularity University in its regularly held Summits. On 20 and 21 April 2016 will be the event as SingularityU Germany Summit for the first time in Germany. Leading figures of the US high-tech industry to introduce these two days in the Berlin Palais am Funkturm plenty of inspiring ideas and new developments in mobility, artificial intelligence, robotics, transportation and logistics.
to Become prevail by 2045 in our daily lives robot
Rob Nail (Associate founder & amp; CEO SU):
“We are constantly on the lookout for disruptive ideas. Ideas, completely displace existing technologies and solve the real problems in the world. Technically, today much doable, but the major challenge is to enforce innovations and ideas socially and socially. The crux of innovations may be that they trigger a social dilemma and society part does not know how to deal with innovation. “
Can exponential technologies to solve the problems of this world
Kathryn Myronuk (Synthesis & amp;? Convergence, Finance & amp; Economics Chair Emeritus SU):
“It’s standard iPhone is around 120 times more powerful than the system of NASA during their space program. The question is: Do we know what to do with anything? We can have it, several copies of all global libraries always there. But what we do with it? No question, this is exponential technology. But it will not save the world by itself. Technology can give us only help when we are ready. “
Will artificial intelligence replace the people in the company
Neil Jacob stone (Artificial Intelligence & amp; Robotics Co-Chair SU):
“If people stay proactive, they are having in the future and working alongside artificial intelligence and robots. Ultimately, this is a much greater productivity result than if robots or people working separately. But at some point the biological human component will fall short of the capabilities of the machine and we need to develop together further, to avoid being put in the shade. This process has already begun. However, I am optimistic about the prospects of humanity in the long run. “
On 20 and 21 April 2016, the SingularityU Germany Summit will be staged in Germany. Leading figures of the US high-tech industry will meet for two days in Berlin to present exciting ideas and new developments in mobility, artificial intelligence, robotics, transportation and logistics. http://www.singularityugermanysummit.org/