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From a global epidemic is mentioned: According to new forecasts will be living with dementia in 2030, 76 million people worldwide. The predictions are worrying -. Unhelpful but
threat scenario can not be dramatic enough. From a global epidemic is mentioned, the numbers of the last estimate made in 2009 have been revised upwards. Last week, even the G-8 summit dementia was proclaimed. In fact, the forecasts are worrying that have been spread by Alzheimer’s Disease International: So 76 million people by 2030 worldwide live with dementia. The estimate three years ago was 66 million people affected. In 2050 it will be even 135 million people with dementia, instead of 115 million, as has been adopted in 2010.
Dementia is actually a worldwide challenge, especially since the corrected forecasts are largely due to the fact that already 58 percent of currently 44 million people with dementia in low-income countries live and there is less awareness of the suffering and fewer health and social care services available than in industrialized nations. In 2050, 71 percent of people with dementia are living in poorer regions of the world, so the estimate.
It needs a system change
Nevertheless, such predictions are tricky. “If health experts to exchange and find that dementia is the scourge of the 21st century forecasts, so they do not help so the today and future sufferers,” said Eugen Brysch of the German Foundation for the protection of patients. “For years there have scientific standards for the care of dementia sufferers. What is missing is their practical implementation, since that requires a change in the system of health care for people with impaired activities of daily living. Still doctors are trained to cure diseases. It is also enter in the foreseeable future no pill against dementia. “
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share in the typical age group declined
If ever invoked the epidemic proportions of dementia, also falls into the background, that the proportion of people affected is apparently declining in the typical age group. Health scientists to Eric Larson describe the current New England Journal of Medicine , that studies from North America and Europe confirm this trend (Vol. 369, pp. 2275, 2013).
in the United States, the proportion of dementia among people beyond the 70 in the decade from 1993 to 2003 declined from 12.2 to 8.7 percent. For Europe, there are similar findings, as reasons are healthier lifestyle, a higher level of education and fewer strokes given. But because the population is aging, the absolute number of people affected continues to rise.
“We are studying the development of diseases do not as a mathematical exercise, but to find out how we can minimize negative consequences for the individual and society,” says Eric Larson. The successes through better education and higher standards of living are encouraging. In addition, we need more understanding of the situation of the elderly and dementia. “When will the Company will be as tolerant to detect cognitive impairment as part of the reality of life,” asks Eugen Brysch. “We need support and help, not exclusion and deportation.”
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